Prediction of Duje Markovina vs Ymerali Ibraimi at M15 Hamilton 11 Dec 2025

• Duje Markovina currently excels in winning second serve points, boasting 49.17% accuracy compared to Ymerali Ibraimi's 38.82%. Does this give Markovina a significant advantage? It seems likely given the statistics.
• In terms of return game performance, Markovina leads again with 45.93% success on opponents' second serves, in contrast to Ibraimi's 35.06%.
• However, the situation reverses when handling first serve returns, where Ibraimi outperforms Markovina, achieving 28.21% compared to 20.78%.
• Markovina demonstrates resilience under pressure, saving 58.49% of breakpoints against Ibraimi's 44.44%, a critical factor in tight games.
• While Markovina has a slightly lower match win rate of 56.52% over the past year compared to Ibraimi's 75.00%, further exploration reveals that Markovina has played a significantly higher number of matches.
• Past performance on surfaces shows both players at their peak on hard courts, each achieving a 60% career win rate.
• Both competitors predominantly compete in ITF tournaments, but Ibraimi edges out in win percentage at this level with 75.00%, slightly ahead of Markovina's 65.00%.
• The quality of opponents faced by Ibraimi is notably higher, with an average opponent rank of 133.25 compared to Markovina's 295, implying tougher past competition for Ibraimi.
• Deciding set statistics favor Ibraimi, who maintains a perfect 100% success rate, while Markovina stands at 50% over the past year.
• It's also essential to consider current event performance and historical success at specific tournaments, although these stats are not provided in this dataset.

Editorial Prediction (December 10, 2025, UTC):

Duje Markovina demonstrates consistent strength in critical areas such as second serve points won and under pressure breakpoint saves. These attributes are key predictors of matches at high-pressure moments.

Ymerali Ibraimi, meanwhile, presents a compelling record with a higher match win percentage and superior results in deciding sets, reflecting stronger endurance and focus during critical match phases.

Additionally, Ibraimi's experience against tougher opponents could translate into a strategic advantage, potentially preparing him better for high-stakes encounters.

Considering these factors, Ymerali Ibraimi appears more equipped to clinch victory in this upcoming match.